There’s not long left to go until the 2018 Grand National at Aintree.
A maximum field of 40 runners will go to post at 5:15pm on Merseyside in an attempt to stay the demanding 4m2f long slog and land the £500,000 first prize.
Anibale Fly, Total Recall, Blaklion and Tiger Roll are the big four at the head of the market.
Can one of them emulate last year’s winner One For Arthur? Or will we see a shock success from further back in the market?
Trends suggest it will be the latter. Don’t Push It in 2010 was the last favourite to come home in first for trainer Jonjo O’Neill.
The last nine winners have all come at a price of 10/1 or greater.
In fact only three pre-race favourites have triumphed in the Grand National since Earth Summit did so in 1998!
Mon Mome remains the last 100/1 winner of the renewal back in 2009.
But what about the other tends?
Well, all of the last 45 winners had managed at least one win over the 3m distance prior to taking on the National.
Age is also important.
Although eight-year-olds have won two of the last three contests, they account for just three wins overall since 1992.
11-year-olds have claimed three of the last six runnings, while a 10-year-old hasn’t tasted success since 2011.
And remember to watch the weights! Horses carrying under 11st have won four of the last five renewals.
Red Rum was the last horse to carry 12st to victory in 1974 – the second of three victories for the legendary steeplechaser.
Ahead of the 2018 Grand National, we’ve picked out three runners for Burnley fans to follow:
Captain Redbeard – Sean Dyche has been dubbed the “ginger Mourinho” for his incredible managerial exploits this season.
So Burnley fans may want to cotton on to Captain Redbeard at Aintree. The raider won last time out and like the Lancashire outfit, has the ability to outrun his pre-race odds.
Carlingford Lough – What do Carlingford Lough and Clarets ace Chris Wood have in common? They’re both marked down as number 11!
Venetia Williams’ raider is a long-odds pick for the Grand National. But as this season has shown, expectations are there to be defied.
Vieux Lion Rouge – Colours are a common way to pick a National winner. So for a club nicknamed the Clarets, Vieux Lion Rouge jumps off the page.
“The Old Red Lion” finished seventh in 2016 and sixth in 2015. How will he do this year?